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They Say the Rats are First to Desert The Ship...

Started by Trading Coach, Oct 22 2009 02:17 AM

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16 replies to this topic

#1 Trading Coach

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Posted 22 October 2009 - 02:17 AM

One of the stocks we track on a daily basis and never lose track of is GS... Why? Because GS is a leadership stock. The question I would pose today is... where is GS Leading Us?

Let's take a look at some past events to better understand the leadership nature of this stock...

First let's go back to the "Subprime" Crisis... this was 2/27/07 when we had the first sign of weakness and to some of us was the beginning of this great Bear Market...

Here is a chart of GS, note how GS was substantially down ahead of the 2/27 Market Crash?

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Now let's look back to just a little over a year ago on 9/18 - The Lehman Bros. Bankruptcy, note that GS gave it up well ahead of the news hitting the market which resulted in a crash of epic proportions....

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Now we turn to November 2008, market lows. See the behavior of GS when compared to SPX ahead of the 11/21-22 Market lows?

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Now here's a chart we posted for our subscribers on 10/15 when we saw the first signs of weakness in GS... We gave a target of 183.00 and the very next day GS traded in the 183.XX range.

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#2 Trading Coach

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Posted 22 October 2009 - 02:19 AM

Here's an update to that chart posted on 10/15... you decide if the rats are deserting the ship here... Volume says they are. This chart was prepared earlier this morning, GS finished the day in the 179.XXs.

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#3 Trading Coach

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Posted 22 October 2009 - 03:47 PM

Even Yesterday... GS led the move DOWN by a full hour...

That's why we watch like a hawk...

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#4 Trading Coach

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Posted 24 October 2009 - 02:48 PM

Although very short term we expect a bounce, when GS drops under 172, the Bearish Upthrust Reversal is in play - 3 step decline to 141...

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#5 Trading Coach

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Posted 28 October 2009 - 03:03 PM

GS printing 173s...

Will the rats reboard?

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#6 Trading Coach

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Posted 28 October 2009 - 07:32 PM

NEXT VOLUME SUPPORT 170.13

Posted Image

WE NAILED THIS SUCKA!!

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#7 Trading Coach

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Posted 02 November 2009 - 06:07 PM

Check out last week's forecast review for Friday... here

Forecast Review 10/30

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#8 Trading Coach

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Posted 06 November 2009 - 04:31 PM

Look at this...

""Markets"" are almost back at the highs...

But not GS...

GS is 22 points off the highs

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#9 Trading Coach

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 05:36 PM

GS back under 170 in afterhours Friday...

157 next.

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#10 Trading Coach

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 05:39 PM

Friday's Nasdaq Forecast:

Thursday we gapped down conveniently under 2177, perhaps too conveniently... We did trade all the way down to the 2137-42 confluence area and made the low at 2141, we had a sideways up move the rest of the day closing at 2156.82, just under that important 2157 pivot. It was a "made to order" pullback. Overall volume was stronger than the past few days we've spent about 50 points higher. We ended the day on a dangerous high volume doji on the 65 min. chart. Unless we just gap down hard, we have to give the edge to testing higher on Friday, short term retest of today's high and try to fill some of the gap now over 2176. Looking at the bearish picture for a minute, the next Nasdaq target will be to break through the 2137 support area

Friday's Low... 2137.06

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#11 Trading Coach

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Posted 25 November 2009 - 04:16 PM

No love here today...

SPX and Nasdaq near highs... DJIA new high.

GS will let the bulls pick up the final Thanksgiving crumbs as they CONTINUE to short into this pig with abandon.

Posted Image

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#12 Trading Coach

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Posted 25 November 2009 - 06:53 PM

How good are we?

Here's a sample...

Today's ES Forecast:

We did test the 1110 mark as we suspected would be tested, and this time the test came in the regular session. Now we can be done at this point, but the odds favor retesting this again

Today's high? 1111

Today's Gold Forecast:

Tuesday we pulled back on lighter volume building cause to test that 1174 high. Now the way this is building here is very interesting. It does look like we are going to move not only higher, but pressure is building now to jump the creek and deliver a substantial higher high.

Today's "Substantial Higher High"? $1187.50

Today's Crude Oil Forecast:

Overnight we should experience congestion now just under $77 and the chart favors a test of today's hourly volume low of 75.60.

Today's Low 75.50
Today's High 77.45

If you want to know where these markets are going, you know what to do...

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#13 Trading Coach

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Posted 27 November 2009 - 04:23 PM

GS is LEADING THE MARKET LOWER....

11/27

$GS breaks 11/2 Low

SPX and Nasdaq are next

1033 SPX

2024 NAS

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#14 Trading Coach

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Posted 27 November 2009 - 04:41 PM

Lots of Volume this morning...

Going nowhere.

Right there at the old 11/2 low

Posted Image

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#15 Trading Coach

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Posted 01 December 2009 - 03:44 PM

First to get Swine Flu Shots, now getting armed to the teeth...

Arming Goldman With Pistols Against Public: Alice Schroeder

What else does Goldman FortuneTeller Money-Machine know that we don't???

And I thought bank robbers were supposed to be armed DURING THE HEIST, Not After!! :lol:

GS heading back towards the Dubai Low.

:lol:

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#16 Trading Coach

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Posted 01 December 2009 - 04:08 PM

Updated Hourly Chart 11am ET 12/01/09

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#17 Trading Coach

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Posted 08 December 2009 - 06:48 PM

Overhead resistance now at 164... huge volume on the way down today...

Lining up short term 157 target... longer term 151.

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